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Said "I'm not selling." Three months of filings later: he didn't.

Nasdaq Tower, May 2026

The Quote

"I'm not selling any shares," posted as the SpaceX IPO, the largest in history, approached.

X, @elonmusk, May 16, 2026

SpaceX's prospectus locked him up for 366 days, with zero shares sold in the offering. On the Tesla side, the only Form 4 in the entire Feb to Aug window is the June option exercise. No S-code (sale) transactions anywhere.

SpaceX prospectus + SEC Form 4 record, May to Aug 2026

None found, and we looked.

The credibility score only means something if it can go up. This is a checkable promise that the filings confirm, through the biggest IPO in history, when selling would have been easiest to justify.

It goes in the pattern file as a green mark, full stop. When his next "I'm not selling" lands, this receipt is the base rate; if a Form 4 ever contradicts one, the archive will already know exactly how unusual that is. Words matched hands for 90 days. We say so as loudly as we would say the opposite.

Still open: Does he sell any SpaceX or Tesla shares before the SpaceX lockup ends in June 2027?

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