Cathie Wood

The playbook

ARK discloses trades daily, so her gaps resolve in days, not quarters. The recurring shape: thesis-level words stay constant while vehicle-level trades rotate underneath them.

She called the bitcoin bottom and sold four crypto names the same month, while buying ten times as much Coinbase and Circle: same thesis, different vehicles. Tesla shows the aligned version: bullish rhetoric matched by repeated dip-buying all summer.

Her words describe themes; her trades pick instruments inside the theme. Judging her statements against single tickers produces false tells. Judge them against the basket.

Receipt history

1. 10 Made the case against memory chips on Tuesday. Her funds were buying the workaround that same day. Aug 18, 2026 (secondary sourced) aligned
2. 04 The control case: said robotaxis would take off, then bought every Tesla dip. May 20, 2026 (secondary sourced) aligned
3. 03 Called the bitcoin bottom. Then sold $4M of crypto stocks. (Mostly.) Jul 3, 2026 (secondary sourced) routine

What we're watching

• Open Palantir whipsaw: bought the June selloff, sold ~$23M into August rallies with no public walk-back of earlier praise. Needs an in-window quote to become a receipt.
• Ongoing Bitcoin $730K-by-2030 base case: crypto basket net flows measure it monthly.

Statement stream, awaiting a filing pair

• Praise of Palantir ("nothing like it in the software space") widely cited, but dated to early 2025. No in-window 2026 statement located yet.

  CNBC (out of window), Feb 2025

  Check ARK "In The Know" July/August 2026 transcripts. If she praised it in-window, the whipsaw becomes the strongest receipt in the archive.