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Friday · August 14, 2026

Cathie Wood

Pattern file

Cathie Wood

Fund manager · ARK Invest · Daily trade disclosures · 13F

Credibility score

Building · 2 receipts on record

1 aligned · 1 routine

The playbook

ARK discloses trades daily, so her gaps resolve in days, not quarters. The recurring shape: thesis-level words stay constant while vehicle-level trades rotate underneath them. She called the bitcoin bottom and sold four crypto names the same month, while buying ten times as much Coinbase and Circle: same thesis, different vehicles. Tesla shows the aligned version: bullish rhetoric matched by repeated dip-buying all summer. Her words describe themes; her trades pick instruments inside the theme. Judging her statements against single tickers produces false tells. Judge them against the basket.

Receipt history

  1. 04 The control case: said robotaxis would take off, then bought every Tesla dip. May 20, 2026 · secondary sourced aligned
  2. 03 Called the bitcoin bottom. Then sold $4M of crypto stocks. (Mostly.) Jul 3, 2026 · secondary sourced routine

What we're watching

  • Open Palantir whipsaw: bought the June selloff, sold ~$23M into August rallies with no public walk-back of earlier praise. Needs an in-window quote to become a receipt.
  • Ongoing Bitcoin $730K-by-2030 base case: crypto basket net flows measure it monthly.

Statement stream · awaiting a filing pair

  • Praise of Palantir ("nothing like it in the software space") widely cited, but dated to early 2025. No in-window 2026 statement located yet.

    CNBC (out of window) · Feb 2025

    Check ARK "In The Know" July/August 2026 transcripts. If she praised it in-window, the whipsaw becomes the strongest receipt in the archive.

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