Pattern file
Donald Trump
President of the United States
Executive orders, OGE Forms 278e and 278-T, Trump Media insider filings
Lifetime record
On record since Oct 2024, latest document Oct 2026
Held above the line, failed below, one step per scored receipt. Routine verdicts are not scored.
Promises on watch: 0 kept, 1 broken, 1 not yet due.
The record as a path
Donald TrumpThe playbook
He is the loudest subject on this list and the slowest to file, which makes him the one where the paperwork has to be chosen carefully. He does not file Form 4s on a portfolio. He does file periodic transaction reports, OGE Form 278-T, for the accounts run in his name, and they are long: the one received on Jun 29, 2026 runs to 44 pages and 1,375 lines. They arrive weeks after the trades, sometimes with a late fee, and the form gives each trade as a range of dollars, not an amount. Beside them sits the annual OGE Form 278e. (Corrected Nov 10, 2026: this page used to say he files no periodic transaction reports. He does, and OGE publishes them.)
What he does produce, constantly and on the record, is action with a date and a signature on it. Executive orders and proclamations are published in the Federal Register within days, they name the policy precisely, and they are his own instrument rather than someone's characterisation of him. That is the column we use. Said it at a rally on Tuesday, signed something narrower or broader on Friday, is a receipt in exactly our format, and it carries none of the risk that comes with writing about somebody's trades.
The second seam is Trump Media and Technology Group, which is a listed company with insiders who file, and where his own stake is a matter of public record. Read those filings for what they say and nothing more.
The rule that matters most here: nothing about this subject gets published on inference. Not on timing, not on who benefited, not on what a market did afterwards. A dated quote and a dated document, or we do not run it.
Receipt history
- 25 Said his order "will eliminate a large monthly expense" for homeowners. The order sets up a pilot, if the regulator agrees, for mortgages not yet made. Oct 22, 2026 tell
- 23 Said data centres are "mandated by me" to make their own electricity. The proclamation he signed is a pledge seven companies accepted. Oct 21, 2026 tell
- 22 Announced $21 billion for two chip plants. The company's filing says "up to", and the second plant "would" be funded. Oct 14, 2026 tell
- 18 Said prices are way down from what he inherited. The government's own index has them 5.4 percent up. Oct 1, 2026 missed
- 11 Promised to halve your electricity bill in a year. Twenty-two months later he declared an emergency over the grid. Oct 3, 2024 missed
What we're watching
- Ongoing The electricity promise is now on the record as missed. Watch whether the administration restates a target date, which would open a second scoreable claim.
- Jun 2027 The annual OGE Form 278e lands around June. The periodic 278-T reports come through the year, weeks after the trades.
- Ongoing First clean pair to look for: a public commitment on a specific policy, next to the executive order that follows it, where the order is materially narrower or wider than the promise.
Statement stream, awaiting a filing pair
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MEXICO MUST STOP THEM, NOW, and if they do not do so, the Tariffs on Mexico will be IMMEDIATELY DOUBLED.
Posted at 12:04 UTC, about caravans he says are forming in Mexico. A threat with a condition and no date or rate attached. A tariff change needs a signed proclamation or order, which goes on the White House actions page and then into the Federal Register. As of 18:30 UTC on Nov 12 the newest item on that page is dated Nov 10 and nothing in it touches Mexico. https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/117603372250841698 and https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/
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In his powerful ruling, Judge Kuntz wrote, “Here, the news entity created the story. BBC admitted as much by confirming it had edited a video to make it appear as though President Trump made a statement he never made.”
Posted at 23:50 UTC. The quote is exact. It is on page 2 of Judge Jeffrey T. Kuntz's order of Nov 10 in Trump v. British Broadcasting Corp., 1:25-cv-25894, Southern District of Florida, and the order does go his way on the main count: the judge refused to dismiss the defamation claim and found that his court has jurisdiction over the BBC, which must answer by Dec 1. It is a ruling on the pleadings, not on the facts. At this stage the court has to take the complaint's allegations as true, and the order says whether he "can prove these claims and establish he sustained damages at summary judgment or trial is left for another day". The "admitted" rests on a document in the record, the BBC chairman's letter apologising that the edit "gave the mistaken impression that you had made a direct call for violent action". The same order dismissed his second claim, under Florida's trade practices law, because a documentary is not commercial speech. The post does not mention that. https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.flsd.703382/gov.uscourts.flsd.703382.209.0.pdf and the docket: https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72040010/trump-v-british-broadcasting-corporation/
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Most of my money is in g-- is given to the biggest firms on Wall Street to invest. and they're index funds. So it came out that I trade-- traded, like, 40,000 stocks.
Later in the same answer he said "they traded, like, 50,000 stocks, because that's what they do. It's all computer generated. I have no idea what the hell they're buying." Half of this fits his own filings and half does not. The fit first: the bond trades in his 278-T received on Feb 27, 2026 are marked "DISCRETIONARY ORDER" on line after line, orders placed at the manager's discretion, as he says. The gap: the 278-T received on Jun 29, 2026, dated Jun 25 with a late fee paid, lists 1,375 trades, nearly all made in April 2026, and most of them are single company shares bought and sold, AutoZone, Alphabet, Adobe, Netflix and hundreds more. The biggest lines are purchases of Meta and Microsoft on Apr 17, each $5 million to $25 million. Index funds do appear, but as things sold: Vanguard's S&P 500 ETF twice in April, $1 million to $5 million each time. What the forms leave open: they do not have to list mutual funds, so any index mutual funds he owns would not show, and an account run to track an index can hold the shares one by one, which a 278-T cannot tell apart from stock picking. Counted on Nov 13: we found and opened nine 278-T reports that the ethics office received from him in 2026, and their last numbered lines add up to 8,358 trades. 191 in the report received Jan 14 (mostly December 2025 trades), 83 on Feb 27, 175 on Apr 23 (March trades), 69 and 3,642 in the two reports dated May 8 (January to March), 1,375 and 1,150 in the two received Jun 29 (April and May), 1,156 on Sep 14 (July) and 517 on Sep 25 (August). That is a floor. We found no report covering June, the February file is marked "(2)" and we did not find its companion, and we found nothing for trades after August. He gave no period for the 40,000 or the 50,000, and his 2025 reports are not in this count. What is on file for this year runs to thousands of trades, not tens of thousands. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-2026-post-midterm-elections-interview-60-minutes-transcript/, https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/AC43530823BD60D485258E27002DDEF7/$FILE/Donald-J-Trump-06.25.2026-278T.pdf and https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/BCF60D94B8F1E59285258DB000347F61/%24FILE/Donald%20J.%20Trump%202.26.2026%20278-T%20(2).pdf The other seven reports: https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/268353939B7DACB585258D81003471B1/$FILE/Donald-J-Trump%201.14.2026-278T.pdf, https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/CD75555856A7D2E485258DE4002DD4A0/$FILE/Donald-J-Trump-4.20.2026-278T.pdf, https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/5326D3AF5BE7C25385258DF7002DD1B7/%24FILE/Trump%2C%20Donald%20J.-05.08.2026-278T.pdf, https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/405E4EC4E27BE8D185258DF7002DD1C0/$FILE/Trump,%20Donald%20J.-05.08.2026-278T(2).pdf, https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/F9CA13B970439E8F85258E27002DDF15/$FILE/Donald-J-Trump-06.25.2026-278T%20(2).pdf, https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/E590116FC9631E9885258E7A002DE209/$FILE/Donald-J-Trump-09.8.2026-278T.pdf, https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/0BDCCCE7DE13AEFA85258E8A002DE2B5/$FILE/Donald-J-Trump.09.17.2026-278T.pdf
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The Stock Market suffered one of the Worst Days in History based on the results of the Election. Such a sad thing to watch! It took so much work to get us to a level that no one has ever seen before, and then this. Your 401(k)s have, therefore, dropped.
Posted at 23:18 UTC, after the close. The fall was real and it was big. The S&P 500 closed Thursday at 7,353.73, down 4.36 percent, the Nasdaq Composite at 24,315.00, down 5.52, and the Dow at 51,523.06, down 3.44. For all three it was the worst day since Apr 4, 2025, when the S&P fell 5.97 percent, the day after a fall of 4.84. On the Nasdaq's own series, which runs back to February 1971, Thursday ranks 36th worst of 14,056 sessions, so "one of the Worst Days in History" holds for that index. The level he describes holds too: the S&P's record close is 7,818.93, set on Oct 6, and Thursday's close is 5.9 percent below it. The reason he gives does not fit the calendar as neatly. The election was on Tuesday, and on Wednesday the S&P rose 1.58 percent and the Dow 3.03. Thursday's fall came two days after the vote, and a price series cannot say why a market moved. Closes: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NASDAQCOM, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DJIA, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SP500 (Thursday's S&P close reaches it a day later) and https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.SPX
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Stock Market just hit another Record High — 91 Days in just a short period of time — Less than two years. Your 401(k)s are through the roof.
Posted at 17:27 UTC, mid-session on the day after the election. None of the three main indexes was at a record when he posted, or at any point that day up to 13:45 New York time. The S&P 500 stood at about 7,708 at 17:25 UTC. Its record close is 7,818.93, set on Oct 6, and its high on Wednesday, 7,715.57, fell 1.3 percent short of it. The Dow peaked at 53,337.27 against a record close of 54,349.12 on Aug 5, and the Nasdaq Composite at 26,048.83 against 27,599.89 on Oct 6. The day itself was a big one: by 13:45 the S&P was up about 1.7 percent and the Dow almost 3. The 91 matches no count we can find. On the St. Louis Fed's daily closes, the S&P 500 set 67 records between his inauguration and Nov 3, the Nasdaq 60 and the Dow 43. Days on which at least one of the three closed at a record come to 100, more than he claimed. The last record on any of them was Oct 6. Wednesday's close reaches the St. Louis Fed series a day later. Records: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SP500, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DJIA and https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NASDAQCOM; the day's highs: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.SPX, https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DJI and https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/index/comp
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Guam, which has always been considered strongly Democrat, just had an early call for a REPUBLICAN Victory in the top spot, Governor — Congratulations to Tony Ada! Also, the Republicans have the Majority in the State Senate.
Posted at 17:07 UTC. Both counts hold on the Guam Election Commission's unofficial results, timed 01:30 on Nov 4 Guam time, which is 15:30 UTC on Nov 3. Tony Ada and his running mate lead for governor with 15,945 votes to 14,925, or 51.45 percent to 48.15. Guam's legislature has 15 seats, all elected island-wide, and on the same count Republicans hold eight of the top 15 places and Democrats seven. That eighth seat is the narrowest: Eulogio Gumataotao, 15th with 11,031 votes, is 267 ahead of the nearest Democrat, Angel Sablan. The same count has the Republican James Moylan behind the Democrat Alicia Limtiaco in the race for Guam's delegate to Congress, 15,645 to 14,983; the post does not mention that race. These figures are unofficial until the commission certifies them. Whether Guam "has always been considered strongly Democrat" is a description, not something a count can test. https://gec.guam.gov/2026-general-election-unofficial-results/
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Oil Prices are DROPPING LIKE A ROCK, down almost $10 a Barrel, A RECORD, because people feel that there will not be a War with Iran.
Posted at 20:46 UTC. The record does not hold on the government's own price series. The Energy Information Administration's daily spot prices show bigger one-day falls this year alone: Brent fell $18.00 on Apr 17, $16.10 on Apr 8 and $14.63 on Mar 23, and West Texas Intermediate fell $18.41 on Apr 8. The biggest in the series is West Texas's $55.29 on Apr 20, 2020, the day it went below zero. A fall of almost $10 would not make the top five on either. How far oil fell on Monday will be in EIA's next weekly update of the spot table; its last entry is Oct 27, when Brent was $123.10 and West Texas $103.37. The reason he gives, what people feel about a war, is not something a document can test. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/RBRTED.htm and https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/RWTCD.htm
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The national average for gasoline hit a four-year low under President Trump, dipping below $3 per gallon in December 2025.
This one holds on EIA's weekly retail price for regular gasoline. The national average went below $3 in the week of Dec 1, 2025, at $2.985, and reached $2.811 on Dec 29, the lowest since March 2021. It went a little lower again in January, to $2.779 on Jan 12, 2026. The same release says prices have risen since "amid a temporary disruption" around the Strait of Hormuz. The latest weekly figure, for Oct 26, 2026, is $4.269, about half as much again as the December low. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=EMM_EPMR_PTE_NUS_DPG&f=W and the release: https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/11/president-trumps-second-term-promises-made-promises-kept-results-delivered/
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He caught a massive number of Illegal Votes, 20,000, but potentially Hundreds of Thousands, and maybe even Millions, and the Court has just ruled against it.
He means Bill Essayli, the acting U.S. Attorney in Los Angeles, and the Justice Department's suit against California and Los Angeles County (United States v. California, 2:26-cv-12025, Central District of California). The court part holds: Judge David Carter denied the government's request on Oct 28, and the Ninth Circuit refused to step in on Oct 30, two judges to one. The "20,000 Illegal Votes" does not match the government's own filings. Its list is of about 20,000 people it calls "likely" noncitizens on the voter rolls, and it asked the courts to set their mail ballots aside until citizenship could be checked; nobody has shown that 20,000 votes were cast, let alone illegally. In July the Homeland Security Department had told California's Secretary of State there "may be as many as 190,832". The district court said it "cannot conclude that Plaintiff's process is credible": no error rates, no explanation of how the number fell from nearly 200,000 to 20,000. Los Angeles County told the court that 7,035 of the records had addresses in the county and that 71.2 percent of the list had never voted. On the other side: the Justice Department charged 28 people under the federal law against noncitizen voting on the day it filed (charges, not convictions), and Judge Patrick Bumatay dissented in the Ninth Circuit, saying the court should have ordered California to keep suspected ballots apart where it could. Neither court decided whether anyone on the list is a citizen; both left prosecutions open. District order: https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.1043513/gov.uscourts.cacd.1043513.149.0.pdf; Ninth Circuit: https://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2026/10/30/26-7231.pdf
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Business investment just posted its strongest quarter in nearly 15 years. With growth of almost 13% in the third quarter, it's a clear signal that companies are betting on American workers, factories, and production under President Trump.
Tested the same day against the Bureau of Economic Analysis advance estimate of Oct 29 and its own comparison table. Most of the release checks out. GDP grew at an annual rate of 3.4 percent, and the last faster quarter was the third of 2025, at 3.9, so "the strongest pace in a year" holds. Consumer spending grew 3.8 percent, as stated. Business investment, which BEA calls nonresidential fixed investment, grew 12.7 percent, which is almost 13. The 15 years does not hold on BEA's table: it lists the last larger quarter as the third of 2020, at 18.4 percent, six years ago. That quarter was the rebound after the pandemic shutdown, and the table does not say what came before it. The 9.4 percent the release gives for "plants and equipment" is BEA's figure for all fixed investment, homes included; equipment alone grew 20.9 percent and structures 5.4. One caveat the documents leave open: inventories added 1.61 points of the 3.4, and final sales of domestic product, which leaves inventories out, grew 1.7 percent. This is the first of three estimates; the second is due Nov 25. https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/gdp-advance-estimate-3rd-quarter-2026 and https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2026-10/hist3q26-adv.xlsx; the release: https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/10/president-trump-unleashes-the-american-economy-gdp-surges-as-investment-hits-multi-year-high/
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BREAKING NEWS: Consumer Confidence is up 7.5%, an extremely big rise.
Tested the same day against the Conference Board's release of Oct 27, and the rise was bigger than he said. The index "rose by 7.5 points to 91.7 (1985=100) in October, up from 84.2 in September". The 7.5 is points, not percent; in percent it is a rise of about 8.9. September's figure was revised up slightly in the same release, so it may move again next month. https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/
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Through the brand new Nurses for Nursing Homes Initiative at CMS, Nurses can get up to $50,000 in Grants for working in rural communities or understaffed facilities. This Fund was nearly a THIRD of this amount until I stepped in, and had our Great Governors join the fight.
The post calls it a "250 MILLION DOLLAR PLUS initiative". What would test it: the program's own terms at nursesfornursinghomes.cms.gov and the HHS release launching it, both of which refused our reader on Oct 27, and the agreements with the states. The claim that the fund was nearly a third of its size before he stepped in needs an earlier CMS figure to set against the final one.
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Anybody reporting Voter Fraud in the past Elections, or the upcoming 2026 Midterm Election, will be paid $1,000,000 upon the arrest and conviction of those that created the Fraud!
A promise of payment with a condition. No reward program, rule or appropriation backing it had been published by Oct 27. What would test it: a Justice Department or other agency notice setting up the reward, and any announced payment under it.
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New and large, in some cases gigantic, Data enters are mandated by me to make their own electricity, and give or sell any excess back to the local community, or grid
A claim of fact about a mandate. The document it points to is his Proclamation 11014 of Mar 4, 2026, the Ratepayer Protection Pledge, which records that seven companies "have accepted the terms" and that they "will build, bring, or buy" the power they need. His proclamation of Oct 7 says he "arranged" the pledge. What would test the word mandated: an order, rule or law that requires data centres to supply their own power. None found in the Federal Register by Oct 21. The same post forecasts that bills could fall, which his electricity question tracks month by month.
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I have decided to do the Patriotic Ads, among others, and pay for them myself, and with money I raised for MAGA, Inc.
A statement about who pays for a set of advertisements that he says had been paid for with government money. What would test it: MAGA Inc.'s reports to the Federal Election Commission, which list what it spends and on what, and the federal contract records for the advertising it replaces.
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Beckton Dickenson (BD), one of the largest Medical Device Manufacturers, has agreed to an Investment of 3 BILLION DOLLARS to Onshore Manufacturing of Essential Medical Products
A figure attributed to a public company, with more than $1 billion of it said to be going to Nebraska, and a reason given for it: medical device tariffs "which will be in place by the end of the year". The spelling of the company is his. What would test it: Becton Dickinson's own announcement and its next filing with the SEC, and the tariff order when there is one.
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What's driving up Gasoline is no longer the Strait of Hormuz, because Record Numbers of Barrels are coming out now on an almost daily basis, but the word, "Refineries," where Russia's are being blown up by Ukraine, and where ours are being closed up, in Blue States, like California, by the Dumocrats.
A statement that gasoline is being driven up, and two claims of fact about why. What would test them: the Energy Information Administration's weekly figures for tanker traffic and crude supply, and its count of operating refineries and their capacity by state. The diesel order he signed the same evening is an open question of its own at /now/t04-diesel-tax-order/.
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The United States is working on a massive Deal with respect to the purchase of Potash from Belarus. The pricing would be for substantially less than we are currently paying to Canada, very good news for our Farmers and Ranchers.
A dated claim of a deal in progress. What would test it: a signed purchase agreement, a Commerce or USDA announcement with a price, or customs data showing Belarusian potash arriving at below the Canadian price. OFAC delisted the Belarusian potash producers on Mar 26, 2026, so the sanctions are no longer the obstacle.
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I am pleased to announce that the United States of America has entered into an Agreement with The Kingdom of Denmark, and Greenland, that gives the United States permanent control over security, and all other needs, in Greenland.
The text of the agreement has not been published. Officials say it will be signed at the UN General Assembly the week of Sep 21. What would test it: the signed text, read for the word permanent and for what Denmark says it grants. Denmark's own statement speaks of sovereignty and self-determination, which is not the same sentence.
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With Melania’s leadership, we are creating a new Women’s Health Division at our National Institutes of Health, to promote new Research, Technology, and Treatments
Posted the evening he signed the order "Advancing Women's Health to Improve Outcomes in All Phases of Life". The order matches the post: it tells the Secretary of Health and Human Services, through the NIH Director, to "establish a Women's Health Division within an appropriate institute or center within 90 days", working with the NIH Office of Research on Women's Health, which already exists. Ninety days from Oct 19 is Jan 17, 2027. What would test it: an NIH announcement or a notice in the Federal Register naming the division and where it sits.
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My decision on Russia is a very simple one. I am in the process of negotiating Peace in the war between Russia and Ukraine, and don’t want to do anything that will drive, foolishly, Russia away from the bargaining table.
His reason for the order of Oct 16, which put the Russia and Iran sanctions law into effect and in its section 4 waived the 500 percent duty on Russian goods, the duties on the biggest buyers of Russian oil and most of the law's other sanctions. He adds: "Signing that document at this time will do that, and I can sign it later, or any time that I want!" The waivers stay until the President or the Secretary of State decides otherwise, so the order and the post agree. The same post says Russia is "sending, at a low price, millions of barrels of diesel to the World", the claim of Oct 9 further down this page in different words. What would test that: Russia's diesel export volumes as tracked by the Energy Information Administration and the International Energy Agency.
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my Commerce Secretary, Howard Lutnick, has secured an Offtake Commitment from Taiwan of between 70 to 80 Billion Dollars for Alaska LNG — That is 30% of the Pipeline for the next 20 years.
Posted at 16:29 UTC after his visit to Alaska. The same post says Taiwan "has also agreed to Invest 4.4 Billion Dollars in Equity" and that the project is "now a U.S. Federal Government Project, with all necessary permits secured". Three claims with numbers and no document attached. What would test them: an announcement or filing from Taiwan's state energy company CPC naming the volume, term and price basis of an offtake contract and the equity stake, the developer's own release, and the federal permits on the record, which are the energy regulator's authorization for the project and the Energy Department's export approval. On Oct 1 he put the project at $50 billion from Korea, an entry further down this page.
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Massive Oil, Gas, and Mineral Exploration is getting ready to begin in our new and beautiful Greenland! There are Experts that are saying that the amount of easily available Oil is far greater than that of almost any land, anywhere in the World
Posted at 04:17 UTC. A claim that exploration is about to start, and a claim about how much oil there is, credited to unnamed experts. No date and no company named. Greenland's government stopped granting new oil and gas licences in 2021 and let the old ones run. Three are left, at Jameson Land on the east coast, worked by Greenland Energy Company, which has no drilling permit: its 8-K of Aug 11, 2026 says Greenland wants "a more extensive, comprehensive review process", and its 8-K of Sep 24 moves the deadline for its first well "from December 31, 2026 to December 31, 2028". On the size, the US Geological Survey's estimate for the east coast (Fact Sheet 2007-3077) is 8,901 million barrels of oil, undiscovered and counted "assuming the absence of sea ice", which is under three months of what the world uses. It gave Jameson Land a 7 percent chance of holding one field of the size it counts and did not estimate it further. What would test the first claim is a drilling permit.
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Today, Türkiye and Bangladesh announced purchases totaling 111 Boeing Airplanes, with options for 50 more, following support from Howard Lutnick and the Department of Commerce. TENS of BILLIONS of Dollars in Sales.
Now an open question of its own at /now/t01-trump-boeing-111/. Boeing's monthly orders tables count firm orders under contract, so the test is whether announced purchases become booked ones.
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Composite Index, Services plus Manufacturing, 62 month high. Manufacturing, 53 month high. Services, 52 month high. Real median incomes are the highest on record.
Four figures, three of them from the S&P Global Flash US survey he linked himself, which publishes the index history that would confirm or deny each high. The income claim is a different document: the Census Bureau's real median household income series, which has its own definition and its own release.
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Prices are way down from what Biden and the Dumocrats left us. It’s why I won the Election, and now prices are coming down, RAPIDLY.
A claim of fact about the price level, with its own baseline: what he was left with in January 2025. What would test it: the Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index, January 2025 against the latest month, for all items and for the things people notice most, which are electricity, gasoline and food at home. September's figures are due in mid-October. Tested against the August index and published as receipt 18.
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the United States and Korea are moving forward on a 120 BILLION DOLLAR Nuclear Power Program to build EIGHT large-scale Nuclear Reactors right here in the United States — Six Westinghouse AP1000 Reactors, and two Korean APR-1400 Reactors.
Posted at 00:41 UTC, the evening of Sep 30 in New York. Three projects with numbers attached: eight reactors for $120 billion, the Alaska LNG project at $50 billion, and a $22 billion, 6.4 gigawatt gas plant in Encinal, Texas, all under what he calls a $200 billion agreement with Korea. No dates. What would test them: the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's list of new reactor applications, a final investment decision on Alaska LNG, and the Texas grid operator's interconnection queue. "Moving forward on" and "agreed to commence working together on" commit nobody to anything yet, which is why this is a line here and not a watch. On Oct 2 he added $8.4 billion for an enhanced oil recovery project to the same list (post 117371353802794328), again with no date.
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Republicans in the Senate have to get moving on what I call the “No More Changing of Clocks Act,” officially known as The Sunshine Protection Act
A demand, not a promise. What would test whether it lands: a Senate vote on the Sunshine Protection Act before the clocks go back on Nov 1.
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I stated, numerous times, that it would take 4-6 weeks to get rid of THE IRAN NUCLEAR THREAT, and I did it in one night!
A claim about his own earlier words. What would test it: the transcripts of his remarks before the strikes, searched for four to six weeks.
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Europe has just agreed to release a massive amount of their heavily stocked Diesel Oil. The process will begin immediately.
A claim that something was agreed and has started. What would test it: a statement from the European Commission or the International Energy Agency announcing a release, with a volume and a date.
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America achieved record domestic oil and gas production along with record levels of liquefied natural gas exports in 2025, and 2026 is on pace to shatter those records once again.
Three records claimed for 2025 and a pace claimed for 2026. What would test it: the Energy Information Administration's monthly tables for crude oil production, natural gas production and liquefied natural gas exports, set against earlier years and against the months of 2026 so far. It was signed two days after an order that says restricted diesel supply has pushed prices up; the question on that order is open.
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I told Tom that I will be approving 17.9 Million Dollars for the Severe Storms and Tornadoes that Wisconsin has experienced.
An amount and a state, said in the post that endorses a candidate for governor there. What would test it: a disaster declaration or a FEMA award for Wisconsin, which is a public document with a date and a figure.
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Russia will immediately supply over 300,000 Tons of Diesel Fuel to the American and Global Marketplace, another 500,000 Tons during the month of November, and 1,000,000 Tons immediately thereafter.
Four volumes with dates, announced as agreed on a call with Vladimir Putin. We found no readout from either government and no order or licence that goes with it. What would test the American half: the Energy Information Administration's monthly table of imports by country of origin, and whatever document permits Russian fuel to be imported. The half that goes to other countries cannot be tested from here.
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Effective immediately, there is an ENERGY CEASEFIRE in the War between Russia and Ukraine. Both parties have agreed.
A fact about two other governments, stated as settled. What would test it: a statement from Kyiv and one from Moscow saying the same thing, and whether strikes on refineries and power plants stop. We have read neither government's statement yet.
